Midwest Weather CenterMET MARKETS
FORECAST WORKSPACE / NY

New York City —

Station observations & hourly model guidance · KLGA

Confirm this station against the contract’s settlement rules before enabling its alerts.
LIVE TEMPERATURE
—F

Awaiting observation

Awaiting source

DEPARTURE FROM NWS
—F

No fresh observation / matching NWS hour

MODEL HIGH / LOW · TODAY
— / —

0 models ·

Observed hourly/SPECI + remaining guidance

OBSERVED HIGH / LOW · TODAY
— / —

12:00 a.m.–11:59 p.m. ·

Hourly/SPECI reports only · partial history

NWS projected day: — / — (observed + remaining forecast)

Preliminary report extrema; not the official daily climate high/low.

Observations & model forecasts

Calendar-day view · zoom and pan time · America/New York · °F

Jan 1, 12:00 AM — Jan 1, 11:59 PM · Ctrl + wheel also zooms

Drag either handle to resize the time window. Use Earlier / Later or drag the chart in pan mode to move it.

Cycle capture times identify model initializations reported by Open-Meteo. Each forecast is saved after that update; Standard data may combine runs. NOAA Init labels identify native runs. Solid = newest forecast; dashed = older snapshot/run or NWS. White dots = hourly/SPECI; cyan = rapid NWS readings. Readings use actual observation times. Blank intervals indicate unavailable forecast data.
Saved forecast availability & collection times (UTC)

RRFS uses retained NOAA initialization runs. Open-Meteo Single Runs mode retains three distinct initializations. Standard mode retains one frozen capture per reported model cycle, keeping the latest three. Hourly polling does not create additional runs. Older unverified hourly captures are excluded. NOAA continues supplying actual observations and NWS guidance.

Settlement-day temperature watch

1970-01-01 · · local midnight to midnight

METAR / SPECI high so far—°F
METAR / SPECI low so far—°F
Qualifying reports0
Observation coveragePartial

No exclusive midnight extreme indicated by feeds covering all remaining hours. Early highs = 00:00–03:00; late lows = 20:00 through next 00:00 forecast (boundary guidance only). Opening lows = 00:00–00:59; closing highs = 23:00–23:59 local; flat all-day extrema are excluded.

Hourly reports & SPECIs used for verification

Provisional reconstruction, not a WU scrape or final settlement. Five-minute ASOS values and encoded six-hour/24-hour extrema are excluded. Missing reports can change the reconstructed high/low. Forecasts are compared as currently retrieved, not an archived verification record.

Saved forecast change monitor

Changes between saved forecasts · same six valid hours · three distinct reported cycles; Standard captures may combine runs

Waiting for prepared forecasts. 0 complete comparisons.

No qualifying trend in complete three-forecast comparisons. Missing snapshots or hours do not trigger an alert.

All completed comparisons

Temperature spread · box & whiskers

2026-11-06 · local time (America/New York) · min/max whiskers, 25–75% box, median line · °F

···· NWS official forecast

Waiting for forecast hours for this calendar day.

NWS guidance is unavailable for this day.

Available-model spread, not a probability or confidence interval. NWS is a separate reference and is excluded from the whiskers. Counts vary by hour. Including prior forecasts weights models with more forecasts more heavily. NBM percentile products are separate calibrated guidance and are not represented by these whiskers.

Midnight / late-day extreme monitor

All cities · each station’s local calendar day · 0 with remaining-day guidance

Early high: midnight–3:00 a.m.Closing high / low: final 3 hours

No midnight extremes indicated

Only forecasts covering the remaining day are considered. Missing guidance is not an all-clear.

Early highs: midnight–3:00 a.m.; opening lows: midnight–12:59 a.m. Closing watches compare forecasts in the final three hours with the projected extreme earlier in the day: low within 1°F or lower, high within 1°F or higher. Today includes earlier observations where available. Incomplete earlier-day coverage suppresses closing notices. Next-day midnight is excluded.

Temperature model verification · KLGA

Saved forecasts compared with observations

Verification logging status

No successful dashboard scoring pass reported yet.

ModelForecast casesValid hoursMAE °FBias °FRMSE °F

Loading saved verification…

Models appear when saved forecasts have matching observations in the selected period and lead range. Check Verification logging status above to distinguish collection from scoring. Daily scores require a complete day captured in advance and its climate report.

Uses the measure, period, lead range and sorting selected above. Created in your browser from saved verification statistics; no model downloads. Changing filters clears the preview.

Hourly temperatures use routine METAR within 15 minutes of forecast valid time. Daily high/low use 24 complete forecast hours saved before the standard-time day starts, compared with the same station’s completed climate report. Missing reports remain unverified. MAE = mean absolute error; bias = forecast minus observed; RMSE = square root of mean squared error. Each case has equal weight; counts differ by model. Cycle captures are labeled separately: their initialization is provider-reported and their contents may combine runs. Newly logged forecasts are never backdated. Scores refresh in background approximately every 30 minutes; cumulative CSVs update every six hours. Only REFS means appear here, not their individual members.

Deviation monitor

Fresh observations vs same-hour guidance

±3°F

No qualifying deviations

Requires a recent observation, matched NWS forecast, and at least 3 models. Missing or stale data cannot trigger an alert.

Weather discrepancies indicate a review opportunity, not a proven trading edge.

Source coverage

0 forecast feeds with data for this window

KLGA
NWSOfficial hourly + grid forecastUnavailable
HRRROpen-Meteo saved forecastUnavailable
GFSOpen-Meteo saved forecastUnavailable
NBMNational Blend of ModelsUnavailable
EuroECMWF IFS · 0.25°Unavailable
ICONOpen-Meteo saved forecastUnavailable
GEMOpen-Meteo saved forecastUnavailable
WeatherNext MeanOpen-Meteo saved forecastUnavailable
RRFSNOAA native initialization runsUnavailable
REFSNOAA official temperature ensemble meanUnavailable
Open-Meteo model snapshots collect hourly. NWS forecasts and observations refresh separately.
Met Markets · data sources

Point model forecasts: Open-Meteo commercial API (GFS, NBM, ECMWF, ICON and GEM). NOAA supplies HRRR, RRFS and ensemble guidance; NWS and Aviation Weather Center supply official forecasts and observations. Visualizations, conversions and blends by Met Markets. Open-Meteo attribution · CC BY 4.0. No NOAA endorsement. Market prices and settlement sources have separate terms. Forecasts and ASOS observations can be delayed or incomplete.