METMARKETS

Precipitation Forecast

Where will it rain today? 27 Kalshi cities · station precipitation in inches

Chicago KORD

Today · 2026-09-23 · Sep 23, 1:00 AM CDTSep 24, 1:00 AM CDT

Kalshi
New market day · awaiting reports
Forecast from now to day end
Highest remaining forecast period
Complete-day models ≥0.01″

Station accumulation

No routine report yet
Waiting for precipitation reports in this market day.

When could it rain?

Local time · Chicago

Amounts apply to the hour starting at each label. NWS multi-hour QPF is distributed uniformly across its interval; it does not resolve exact rain timing. Model agreement is not a calibrated probability. Open-Meteo models use saved forecast snapshots combining recent runs; RRFS uses a NOAA initialization run. Missing coverage remains blank. Blank lines mean unavailable hours.

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Upcoming rain days

NWS forecast + model range

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WPC precipitation outlook

Official QPF maps ↗

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WPC is regional liquid-equivalent guidance. Values are contour thresholds, not exact station totals. WPC periods are shown explicitly and do not match the market-day boundaries.

Sources, timing & settlement

Market days are always 24 hours from midnight local standard time (UTC-6). During daylight saving time that is 1 a.m. to 1 a.m. by the local clock. Each city uses its own day boundary.

Rain status uses preliminary ASOS/METAR interval summaries from the NWS station observations, sourced from the weather observation network. Routine hourly reports build the accumulation chart; specials are not repeatedly added. Hourly resets occur a few minutes before the hour, so totals near the day boundary are approximate and may differ from the official climate total. Missing coverage is flagged. “Dry so far” does not predict the final result.

Kalshi’s current KXRAIN rules settle on the Weather Company’s reported CLIORD precipitation: strictly greater than zero is Yes; trace and missing final values count as zero. This dashboard treats missing live observations as unknown. Precipitation is liquid equivalent and may include melted frozen precipitation.

Models are collected hourly on the server from paid Open-Meteo: HRRR, GFS, NAM, NBM, ECMWF, ICON and GEM. RRFS is read from prepared NOAA runs. Open-Meteo saved snapshots are not individual initialization runs. NWS gridded QPF and PoP are official digital forecasts; the maximum period PoP is not the chance of any rain over the whole day.

NWS issued: unavailable. Models fetched: unavailable. Observation summary fetched: unavailable.

Met Markets · data sources

Point model forecasts: Open-Meteo commercial API (HRRR, GFS, NBM, NAM, ECMWF, ICON and GEM). NOAA supplies RRFS point forecasts and native model maps; NWS and Aviation Weather Center supply official forecasts and observations. Visualizations, conversions and blends by Met Markets. Open-Meteo attribution · CC BY 4.0. No NOAA endorsement. Market prices and settlement sources have separate terms. Forecasts and ASOS observations can be delayed or incomplete.